Sunday, February 23, 2014

Free Citizenship Class!

Prince of Peace Lutheran Church is offering a free class to help people study for their naturalization test. 

12 Classes, Tuesdays, Thursdays and Fridays. Running March 18 through April 11, 2014 from 7:30 pm to 9:00 pm. 

Prince of Peace Lutheran Church
8304 Old Keene Mill Road
Room 27
Springfield, VA 22152

William J. Kovatch, Jr.

Monday, February 10, 2014

Imigration Reform Is Dead? How Did That Happen?

In less than a week, Republican House leadership went from revealing their principles for immigration reform to acknowledging that there was very little chance of passing reform this year.  Indeed, a few days after the proposal was revealed at a GOP legislative retreat, reform proponent Paul Ryan stated that the passage of reform was "clearly in doubt."  This was followed by House Speaker John Boehner declaring that passage of reform legislation would be "difficult" days later.

So what happened?  How did the fortunes of immigration reform legislation change so rapidly in sch a short period of time?

The Process Took Too Long

Strike while the iron is hot.  That's the conventional wisdom.  Use the momentum and advantage while you have it.

After the 2012 presidential election, the passage of immigration reform looked all but certain.  Even conservative talk show hosts, like Sean Hannity, stated that they had rethought immigration reform and supported a pathway to citizenship.

But, immigration reform was not the top priority either for the Administration or Congress.  Rather, the nation first had to face the crisis created by the so-called "fiscal cliff."

Once the crisis was settled, it became a race between a bipartisan committee from the House, which had been working on immigration reform behind the scenes since 2009, and the Senate "Gang of Eight."  According to The Hill, President Obama and Senator Chuck Schumer were not happy with concessions that House Democrats had made, and intervened with House Democrat Luis Gutierrez to slow the progress of the House bill in order to allow the Gang of Eight's bill to pass the Senate first, and thus shape the immigration debate.Once the Senate bill passed, momentum for the House bill died over the summer.

The Hill continues, reporting that two Texas Republicans, John Carter and Sam Johnson, were ready to introduce a bill in the House.  However, they received no commitment from Speaker Boehner.  Washington was then bogged down in the autumn, first by the situation in Syria, and then with the Government shut-down orchestrated by GOP tea party members.

By time Congress passed a new budget, opponents of immigration reform began to strengthen.  Tea party supporters were boosted within GOP ranks by their ability to shut down the Government.  By mid-November, Boehner was saying that there were not enough legislative days left in 2013 to address immigration reformBoehner ruled out going into a Conference Committee where the Senate bill would set the agenda.  Indeed, there was a fear among House Republicans that even if the House passed smaller bills on immigration reform that the Senate would use that as an opportunity to inject principles from the Senate bill into the resulting legislation.

When it appeared that the wheels were coming off of the Obamacare band wagon, House Republicans saw no reason to push for immigration reform in 2013.  Indeed, the momentum had shifted in Washington, placing Democrats on the defensive.

Republicans Don't Trust Obama

One theme that emerged from the demise of immigration reform last week was that House Republicans just don't trust President Obama.  The main issue is that of border security.  GOP leader had tried to sell reform to rank and file party members by promising that any pathway to legal status for undocumented aliens already present in the country would be tied to greater border security.  When conservative House Republicans voiced resistance to the leadership's principles, it prompted Boehner to say, "Listen, there’s widespread doubt about whether this administration can be trusted to enforce our laws."

If the President was trying to earn such trust, he had done himself no favors in the State of the Union Address.  There, he was seen as throwing the down the gauntlet, threatening unilateral executive action if Congress would not bend to his will in passing certain legislation in the remainder of the President's term.  Indeed, the President's reputation for acting unilaterally, and in the eyes of any conservatives unconstitutionally, on immigration issues is well-earned.  When Congress did not pass the DREAM Act, for example, the President responded by implementing his Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program unilaterally.  House Republicans fear that even if reform legislation included border security requirements, this President will simply refuse to enforce them.

Republicans Are Now Focused on the Mid-Term Elections

As I wrote last week, the Republicans are now very optimistic of winning control of both houses of Congress in the mid-term elections.  Democratic control of the Senate is in jeopardy, in part due to the continued unpopularity of Obamacare.  In the House, many GOP members are from "safe" districts, where the real electoral threat comes not from a Democratic challenger in the general election, but from a more conservative challenger in the primary election.

Many conservatives see supporting any immigration reform that includes any type of "amnesty" as political suicide.  Not only will it alienate more conservative voters, but it would only eventually add to the number of voters who support Democrats, as the undocumented aliens are overwhelmingly Latino.  Should the undocumented eventually become citizens, then the number of Latino voters will rise.  Given the huge majorities which Latinos gave the President in 2012, conservatives believe that adding so many Latino voters to the rolls will relegate the Republicans to a permanent minority party.

Democrats Couldn't Care Less if Immigration Reform Actually Passes

Meanwhile, Democrats are in no hurry to have immigration reform actually become law.  The reason is that it continues to give Democrats a political issue to bash Republicans over the head with in national elections.  Democrats can easily be seen as supporting immigration reform by pushing for legislation.  But, if the Republicans continue to oppose reform, Democrats can point the finger at the GOP and continue to use the issue to garner Latino and Asian support.

So Long as Republicans Have Legislative Power, Immigration Reform Remains in Doubt

The last time that immigration reform came close to passage, it was in 2006, when Republican George Bush was president, and the Republicans controlled both houses of Congress.  The Comprehensive Immigration Reform Act of 2006 included a guest worker program and a pathway to citizenship.  If Republicans really intended to pass reform, they had the political power to do so.  However, reform died in December of 2006, in the lame duck session, as many Republicans who has previously supported reform turned on the bill, in the wake of the Republicans 2006 electoral defeat.

Similar to the current political climate, conservatives who opposed reform gained momentum and worked to block passage.

Will Some Kind of Immigration Reform Pass this Year?

 There are certainly some optimists left in Washington on immigration reform.  Chuck Schumer has proposed, for example, enacting the legislation now, but delaying implementation until 2017The conventional wisdom, however, is that the prospects of passage is less than 50-50.  Considering that the 2016 presidential elections are on the horizon, if reform does not pass this year, it may be doubtful that it will pass until a new person is sworn in as Commander-in-Chief.  At this point, neither party appears eager to push for a quick resolution.

William J. Kovatch, Jr.
for an appointment, call (703) 837-8832

Wednesday, February 5, 2014

Washington Post Examines Life in Immigration Court

On Monday, February 2, 2014, the Washington Post published an article describing what Immigration Court is like.  In writing the article, Eli Saslo interviewed Immigration Judge Lawrence O. Burman.  Above is a photo, published by the Washington Post in connection with the article, taken from Judge Burman's perspective in his courtroom.

I have practiced before Judge Burman.  I find him fair, personable and knowledgeable, which is really all you want in any judge.  He also can have a dry sense of humor.  Today, when confirming a woman's address, he noted that she lived on John Marshall Street.  He asked her if she knew who John Marshall was.  When she responded that she didn't, Judge Burman told her that not only was he a Chief Justice of the Supreme Court, but also an officer who served with General Washington in the Colonial Army.  He then commented that under current US law, this would make him a terrorist (which is true).

Much of my practice is before the Arlington Immigration Court, which I enjoy very much.  If you need representation in an immigration matter, call the number below for an appointment.

William J. Kovatch, Jr.
(703) 837-8832

Tuesday, February 4, 2014

GOP Proposes Immigration Reform; Now What?

Last week, Republican leaders from the House of Representatives circulated a one page set of principles on immigration reform among rank and file members at a retreat in Cambridge, Massachusetts.  According to Time Magazine, the proposal included a pathway to legalization for undocumented aliens already present in the United States, provided border protection measures are taken and the undocumented meet certain criteria.

Time quotes that GOP leaders proposed that undocumented aliens "could live here legally and without fear in the U.S., but only if they were willing to admit their culpability, pass rigorous background checks, pay significant fines and back taxes, develop proficiency in English and American civics, and be able to support themselves and their families."  The Republicans principles did not include a pathway to citizenship, which the Washington Post reports may be an area where immigration reform advocates are willing to compromise.

Despite the support from Republican House leaders, whether immigration reform will even happen is "in doubt," according to Representative Paul RyanRyan has been the target of the ire of conservative talk show hosts for his support of immigration reform.  Ryan appeared on ABC's "This Week" on Sunday, stating, "Security first, no amnesty, then we might be able to get somewhere."  When asked specifically if Congress would pass an immigration reform bill this year, Ryan responded, "I really don't know the answer to that question. That's clearly in doubt."

After Mitt Romney's loss in the 2012 Presidential elections, the conventional wisdom was that the Republicans had to support some degree of immigration reform that included the granting of legal status to the undocumented aliens already present in the country if they were to remain competitive in national elections.  This was due to the overwhelming majorities that Latino and Asian voters gave the President.  What happened since then?

In truth, House Republicans are focused on the 2014 mid-term Congressional elections.  Most House Republicans come from "safe" districts, where the election of a Republican is almost certain.  Support for any immigration reform that can be seen as amnesty would more likely result in a credible challenge in the primaries, and not in the election of a Democrat.

Add to this situation the President's recent troubles with the cornerstone of his Administration: Obamacare.  With the program becoming increasingly unpopular, there is a real possibility that the Republicans may be able to take the Senate in the mid-term elections too.

Last week, talk show host Rush Limbaugh questioned why the Republicans would push for any immigration reform that includes so-called "amnesty."  Citing an article from the Politico, Limbaugh noted that Democrat may even be conceding control of the House to the Republicans in order to concentrate electoral resources on saving the Senate.  Limbaugh speculated that if the Republicans were poised to have such electoral success in 2014, the only way to derail that success now is if the party pushed for immigration reform.  Specifically, Limbaugh claimed that if Republicans supported "amnesty," that would likely cause faithful Republican voters to stay home on election day.

With this political climate, then, the passage of immigration reform, which seemed to be a sure thing in late 2012, early 2013, is not a sure thing.  Those who may have been waiting to see if reform would pass instead of acting on legal possibilities now may be well advised to re-think that strategy.

To discuss what possibilities may be available under the law, call now for an appointment.

William J. Kovatch, Jr.
(703) 837-8832