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Showing posts with label election. Show all posts
Showing posts with label election. Show all posts

Tuesday, April 7, 2020

It's Not Going to Be Popular to Say This Around Some Circles, But the Supreme Court Did the Right Thing in Striking Down the U.S. District Court's Attempt to Alter Wisconsin's Voting Framework

I don't think it's any secret that I don't like Donald Trump.  He's got an authoritarian streak, he can't stand criticism, and he does try to grab power he doesn't have.  But, I'm not going to join those who have a knee-jerk reaction every time some branch of the U.S. Government takes an action or makes a decision that has the effect of decreasing the opportunities to cast or count votes and claim that it's part of some vast right-wing conspiracy to suppress the vote and keep Trump in power.  There are times when lower courts, in an effort to do what the trial judge subjectively thinks is the morally right, overstep their authority.  When that happens, the Supreme Court is within its authority to remind those lower courts that they need to work within the framework of the law and the Constitution.  Among those constitutional principles that is important to uphold are the separation of powers and federalism.  This is why the Supreme Court's decision on Monday, April 6th,addressing the election in the State of Wisconsin, although poorly written, was the right thing to do.

The Supreme Court's decision did not elaborate on the facts too well.  For that, I had to go back to the decision of the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Wisconsin dated April 2, 2020.  That decision addresses three consolidated cases, in all of which the plaintiffs challenge Wisconsin's election framework, within the context of the current COVID-19 crisis.

The entire world is the middle of a pandemic, from a virus which heretofore had not been identified, and had not infected humans.  That is SARS-CoV2, which many have been identifying by using the shorthand, the coronavirus.  It is actually just one, and indeed the newest, of many different types of coronaviruses, which, unfortunately, is confusing some people.  The virus causes the disease that the World Health Organization calls COVID-19.  COIVD-19 appears to cause mild symptoms in the vast majority of people.  But in some people, it can cause serious respiratory issues, and death.  There is some dispute over the death rate, but it appears to be between 1% and 3%, which is a much higher death rate than the flu.  In addition, the virus appears to be more contagious than the flu.  Because humans have not developed natural immunity to this virus yet, and because we currently do not have a vaccine against the virus, it has swept across the globe.  With the first case in humans being identified in December of 2019, as of the time of writing, over 1.2 million people have been infected worldwide.  Over 72,000 people have died from COVID-19.

COVID-19 has the potential to overwhelm the medical resources throughout the world.  The recommendation of medical professionals has been to isolate those who have the virus, quarantine those who have come in contact with those who have the virus, and generally practice social distancing and safe personal hygiene for everyone else.  Governors across the United States have issued stay-at-home orders, to prevent people from congregating and giving the virus more opportunities to spread.  Surfaces are being cleaned more often, and people are being advised to wash their hands often, to wear masks in public and to try not to touch their faces.  Most importantly, medical professionals have advised that we avoid large public gatherings.

However, this is an election year in the United States.  In November, Americans will go to the polls to either to choose a new president, or re-elect President Trump.  This spring, we are in the midst of primary season.  That is, the separate states and territories are holding primaries or caucuses to nominate the Democratic candidate for president.  In some states, they are holding elections for local and state offices at the same time as the primaries.  The COVID-19 crisis has caused numerous states who had elections scheduled for April to postpone them, or to expand the opportunity for mail-in absentee ballots, due to the risk of spreading the virus.  Wisconsin is not one of those states.

Wisconsin scheduled its election to be held on April 7, 2020 long before the current crisis. More well over a month, the Governor has been calling on the Wisconsin Legislature to postpone the election, or make it easier for people to cast mail-in absentee ballots.  The Legislature has not responded.  Meanwhile, because so many election workers are over the age of sixty, a category who is at a high risk of developing the severe symptoms of COVID-19, the rise in absentee ballots as well as opening the polls for the regular in-person voting, threatened to overwhelm Wisconsin election officials.  Many voters requested absentee ballots in the last month leading up to Election Day.  It was almost certain that thousands of applicants would not receive their absentee ballots before Election Day.

This is the situation where the U.S. District Court found itself.  Three different lawsuit lawsuits were filed to do something about the Wisconsin election, such as extending deadlines, and waiving witness requirements for mail-in ballots.  Under Wisconsin election law, ballots had to be received by April 7th in order to be counted.  Wisconsin law also gave the municipal canvassing boards until April 13th to certify the vote count to the counties.  The District Court, in a decision entitled Democratic National Committee, et al., v. Marge Bastelmann, et. al., issued a preliminary injunction which, among other things, permitted absentee ballots received by April 13th to be counted, regardless of when the ballots were postmarked.  A party submitted a request to stay the preliminary injunction (i.e. to prevent the injunction from taking effect) to Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh (submitting such a request to a Justice on the Supreme Court is normal Court procedure), who in turn referred the matter to the full Court.  In a decision that pitted the five conservative members of the Court against the four liberal members, the majority issued a per curiam opinion, meaning the five member majority spoke as one, granting the stay of the preliminary injunction.  The sole issue for the Court was whether the District Court overstepped its authority by permitting ballots postmarked after April 7th to be counted so long as they were received by April 13th.  That is, the Supreme Court permitted Wisconsin to continue to count ballots received by April 13th, so long as they were postmarked by Election Day, April 7th.

Many liberal pundits saw the Supreme Court's action as one of intentional voter suppression, aimed specifically at helping the Republican Party, and in particular Donald Trump, stay in power once the November presidential and congressional elections come around.

I read the Supreme Court's decision much differently.

Let me be clear, I am all in favor of taking action now to prepare for the November elections, and the possibility that the current crisis may still be around.  I, too, have some fear that Trump and the Republican Party may take some action that may negatively affect the elections.  After all, not only did Russia interfere in his favor in 2016, Trump has already been impeached for seeking Ukrainian interference in the 2020 election.  The only thing that saved him from removal was the fact that the Republicans control the Senate, and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell made sure that the Senate trial was a farce with no witnesses being called at all.  I would love it if state legislatures acted now to address the November elections to expand the availability of early voting and mail-in voting just in case the coronavirus still has us sheltering in our homes at that time.

But let's be clear on some things.  Trump has no authority to do anything directly to change, postpone or cancel the November elections.  There is nothing in the Constitution, or any of the numerous federal statutes addressing the president's emergency powers that grant the president such authority.  How the November elections are to be run is a matter for the people of the several states, through their legislatures, to address.  Many Trump opponents fear he will nonetheless attempt to use the declaration of a national emergency to seize a power that is otherwise not granted to the presidency.

Yet, as I read the U.S. District Court decision, I noticed that the very thing that Trump's critics fear that he will do in the abstract, grab power that he doesn't have, is exactly what the District Court did.  In its opinion, the District Court essentially states, "There is a crisis out there that nobody is doing anything about, so I'm going to create a solution, whole cloth, despite their being no statute or constitutional provision giving me the authority to do so."  It is quite amazingly.  The decision is bereft of any citation to law or constitutional provision giving it the authority to interfere and fundamentally alter Wisconsin's election framework.  The District just says, "Voting is a fundamental right, so here's what you need to do."  That is, the District Court just assumed that it had the authority to make its own deadlines and impose them upon Wisconsin's state government as a whole.  Put another way, the U.S. District Court thought that it could act as if it were a legislature.

Again, if Trump had done this, those very same liberal pundits complaining about the Supreme Court would be up in arms over Trump's action.

Our Constitution engages in a dispersion of powers among not only the three branches of government, but also between the federal government and the government of the several states.  This is known as separation of powers when it refers to the three branches of the federal government, and federalism when it refers to the division of powers between the federal government and the governments of the several states.  They are the fundamental principles upon which our system of government is created, in order to avoid any one part of the government becoming too powerful and acting tyrannically.  In this regard, a court that oversteps its authority can be just as tyrannical as an authoritative executive.  The Supreme Court was absolutely within in prerogative to slap down a decision by a U.S. District Court that overstepped its power.

The lesson is two-fold.  First, all branches of government need to respect the limits placed on their authority by the Constitution.  Second, the state legislatures, as the law-making branch of government in their respective states, need to address the November elections now, before it becomes a crisis where well-intentioned courts will feel obligated to step in, regardless of the limits on judicial power.

By:  William J. Kovatch, Jr.

References

For general facts about the virus, I referred to the World Health Organization's website.

Information can also be found on the Centers for Disease Control's website.

The U.S. Supreme Court Decision can be found here:  Republican National Committee, et al., v. Democratic National Committee, et al., Slip Op. Crt. No. 19A1016 (U.S. Supreme Court April 6, 2020).

The U.S. District Court decision can be found here:  Democratic National Committee, et al., v. Marge Bostelmann, et al., Slip Op. Crt. No. 20-cv-249-wmc (W.D. Wis. April 2, 2020).

Johnson, Jake, "'One of the Most Brazen Acts of Voter Suppression in Modern Times,' as US Supreme Court Blocks Absentee Ballot Extension in Wisconsin," Common Dreams (April 7, 2020).

Liptak, Adam, "Supreme Court Blocks Extended Voting in Wisconsin," The New York Times (April 6, 2020).

Litman, Leah, "The Supreme Court's Wisconsin Decision Is a Terrible Sign for November," The Atlantic (April 7, 2020).

Perrett, Connor, "'Voter suppression on steroids': Wisconsin's decision tohold the state's in-person primary amid the COVID-19 pandemic will suppressvoters, advocates warn," Business Insider (April 7, 2020).

Stern, Mark Joseph, "The Supreme Court's Wisconsin Election Decision is 2020's Bush v. Gore," Slate (April 7, 2020).



Tuesday, February 4, 2014

GOP Proposes Immigration Reform; Now What?


Last week, Republican leaders from the House of Representatives circulated a one page set of principles on immigration reform among rank and file members at a retreat in Cambridge, Massachusetts.  According to Time Magazine, the proposal included a pathway to legalization for undocumented aliens already present in the United States, provided border protection measures are taken and the undocumented meet certain criteria.

Time quotes that GOP leaders proposed that undocumented aliens "could live here legally and without fear in the U.S., but only if they were willing to admit their culpability, pass rigorous background checks, pay significant fines and back taxes, develop proficiency in English and American civics, and be able to support themselves and their families."  The Republicans principles did not include a pathway to citizenship, which the Washington Post reports may be an area where immigration reform advocates are willing to compromise.

Despite the support from Republican House leaders, whether immigration reform will even happen is "in doubt," according to Representative Paul RyanRyan has been the target of the ire of conservative talk show hosts for his support of immigration reform.  Ryan appeared on ABC's "This Week" on Sunday, stating, "Security first, no amnesty, then we might be able to get somewhere."  When asked specifically if Congress would pass an immigration reform bill this year, Ryan responded, "I really don't know the answer to that question. That's clearly in doubt."

After Mitt Romney's loss in the 2012 Presidential elections, the conventional wisdom was that the Republicans had to support some degree of immigration reform that included the granting of legal status to the undocumented aliens already present in the country if they were to remain competitive in national elections.  This was due to the overwhelming majorities that Latino and Asian voters gave the President.  What happened since then?

In truth, House Republicans are focused on the 2014 mid-term Congressional elections.  Most House Republicans come from "safe" districts, where the election of a Republican is almost certain.  Support for any immigration reform that can be seen as amnesty would more likely result in a credible challenge in the primaries, and not in the election of a Democrat.

Add to this situation the President's recent troubles with the cornerstone of his Administration: Obamacare.  With the program becoming increasingly unpopular, there is a real possibility that the Republicans may be able to take the Senate in the mid-term elections too.

Last week, talk show host Rush Limbaugh questioned why the Republicans would push for any immigration reform that includes so-called "amnesty."  Citing an article from the Politico, Limbaugh noted that Democrat may even be conceding control of the House to the Republicans in order to concentrate electoral resources on saving the Senate.  Limbaugh speculated that if the Republicans were poised to have such electoral success in 2014, the only way to derail that success now is if the party pushed for immigration reform.  Specifically, Limbaugh claimed that if Republicans supported "amnesty," that would likely cause faithful Republican voters to stay home on election day.

With this political climate, then, the passage of immigration reform, which seemed to be a sure thing in late 2012, early 2013, is not a sure thing.  Those who may have been waiting to see if reform would pass instead of acting on legal possibilities now may be well advised to re-think that strategy.

To discuss what possibilities may be available under the law, call now for an appointment.

William J. Kovatch, Jr.
(703) 837-8832
wkovatch@kovatchlegalservices.com

Tuesday, November 13, 2012

No Republican Uniformity on Immigration Reform

After Romney's presidential election defeat last week, many prominent Republicans began advocating for a change in the party's stand on immigration reform.  Pointing to the overwhelming majority of Latino voters who sided with President Obama, these Republicans saw a softening on the party's stance on immigration as one way that the party could appeal to this demographic group.

However, there does not appear to be uniformity within the Republican ranks on this issue.  Some have argued that changing the party's stance on immigration would amount to nothing more than pandering, and would not guarantee that Latinos would be more attracted to Republican candidates.

A strategy that hoisted all hope on immigration reform may not work to attract more Latino voters to the Republican party.  Such a strategy assumes that Latinos are single-issue voters, leaning heavily on immigration policy to guide their choice.  This, however, appears to be a false assumption.  Indeed, to consider the Latino vote to be a homogenous group itself is something of a fallacy.  Cuban Americans living in Florida, for example, are not the same as Mexican Americans living in California.

 The argument has been made that changing the party's stand on immigration reform could be the first step to changing the GOP's image on diversity in general. Business Insider has pointed out that Romney lost among Asian voters in a slightly larger margin than he did among Latino voters.  This is despite the fact that Romney generally won the vote among Americans with incomes of greater than $100,000 per year, and that on average Asians earn more than caucasians.  The argument here is that the Republicans' stand on immigration issues gives the appearance that the party is not so very tolerant of ethnic minorities.  But, immigration reform alone would not be enough to sway minority voters.

Francis Wilkinson of Bloomberg argues that Republicans place too much emphasis on Christian values, which can alienate Buddhists and HindusJennifer Rubin in the Washington Post wrote that among the thing Republicans need to consider is running ads in languages other than English, and Democrats do.  A similar thing can be said about campaigns aimed at legislating English as the official language, either of the federal or state governments.  Such actions are insensitive to the diverse population of the United States, and communicate a lack of tolerance to minority groups.

Immigration reform itself may not be a panacea for the Republican party.  But, it can be the first step to changing the party's image provided that harsh-toned rhetoric that appears intolerant of anyone who isn't an English-speaker of European descent is also eliminated.

By:  William J. Kovatch, Jr.
(703) 837-8832
info@kovatchimmigrationlaw.com